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Saturday, April 23, 2011

Awaiting the verdict, TSI analyses why religion and caste do not pay in the long run

After Irom Sharmila last year, Anna Hazare wins IIPM's 2011 Rabindranath Tagore Peace Prize of Rs. 1cr. To be handed over on 9th May

Gainers turn ultimate losers

Will the Allahabad High Court's verdict on the more-than-century-old Ram Janmabhoomi-Babri Masjid dispute put an end to the matter? Most possibly no. No matter which way the verdict swings, the aggrieved will most definitely appeal to the country's highest court. The procrastinating judicial process, though none can beat the Liberhan Commission in this regard, will definitely make sure that years down, a new generation of Indian Hindus and Muslims wakes up one fine day and disdainfully looks at newspaper headlines, wondering: 'What is wrong with these people? Why are they obsessed with something that happened so many years back?'

The people of India have moved over from 1992. I just wish I could say the same about BJP. The Ram Mandir agitation has served the Saffron political front well. L.K. Advani's momentous Rath Yatra traversed the length and breadth of the country, drawing support from Hindu religious leaders and common people swayed by religious fervour. His opposite numbers like Lalu Prasad Yadav and Mulayam Singh Yadav similarly reached out to Muslims by projecting their avid anti-mandir stance. The Mandal guarantee of lower caste votebank was already there. It was time to ride the wave. The Temple Movement culminated in the gathering of 1,50,000 frenzied kar sevaks in Ayodhya on December 6, 1992, the disputed structure was brought down. While the act led to riots in parts of the country which claimed 1,000 lives, it consolidated the BJP's conservative Hindu votebank. The party swept the Assembly elections in Maharashtra and Gujarat in 1995. In the parliamentary polls of 1998, the BJP-led NDA attained a thin majority. In the interim elections of 1999, the NDA increased its tally.

An issue as vague as the Ram Mandir could bring BJP to power but could not perpetuate its stay. BJP failed to understand this. The Kandahar hijack fiasco and the Gujarat riots of 2002, coupled with the extreme negative publicity that the NDA's 'Shining India' campaign generated, made sure of its defeat in the 2004 elections. If 2004 was shocking, 2009 was tragic. Its tally was reduced to 159 seats, factionalism engulfed the party. Today, the party is at its wit's end to re-brand itself. A section still feels return to the old Hinduvta will pay dividends. But that section is marginalised today. The new leadership has a serious predicament. Neither can it abandon the mandir cause. And sticking to it is making the party look more ridiculous.

With the BJP threat receding, Lalu and Mulayam have also had their Muslim vote bank slip. When you toss a coin into muck, both sides get dirty. Eighteen years have passed since 1992. An entire new generation has started exercising its right of franchise. They are not bothered about mandirs and masjids. They are bothered about unemployment, development, equitable distribution of wealth, access to quality education and healthcare. The BJP had a lemon to juice. They squeezed it to its bitter end.

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Rashmi Bansal Publisher of JAMMAG magazine caught red-handed, for details click on the following links.

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